Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 95834.877874 101023.204053 106207.456980 111772.878111 117574.852431 123441.584296 129818.643520
2025-10-05 88031.632313 96025.444851 104232.088595 113276.404617 122953.427039 132986.218196 144163.369800
2025-10-12 82506.738784 92459.952006 102897.427030 114637.117737 127451.514183 140992.206317 156359.727188
2025-10-19 77882.049111 89284.436241 101456.453936 115381.203739 130833.294801 147417.471459 166524.850804
2025-10-26 73728.027030 86238.248162 99803.941917 115554.819746 133285.261289 152572.040138 175082.078177
2025-11-02 70382.599970 83830.369886 98619.561648 116019.747582 135857.037718 157692.767256 183468.158985
2025-11-09 67182.920947 81379.380773 97197.163251 116035.943056 137764.755649 161942.384866 190777.238659
2025-11-16 65052.076873 80019.384488 96895.336147 117217.482522 140904.151778 167516.709179 199548.105500
2025-11-23 62408.188260 77922.216513 95616.983780 117153.028629 142508.136899 171259.826596 206169.277719
2025-11-30 60933.262196 77121.656351 95779.351120 118706.645204 145944.863704 177088.809602 215198.583127
2025-12-07 59292.909147 76039.709905 95536.612258 119717.650214 148695.227600 182090.869379 223259.857460
2025-12-14 57266.678593 74404.644472 94556.696888 119778.600519 150261.095050 185663.246405 229621.579423
2025-12-21 55368.889957 72878.261476 93671.687936 119931.390804 151934.536129 189385.343902 236216.635613
2025-12-28 54451.413141 72525.408449 94183.781205 121760.085018 155622.940099 195521.603774 245731.286423
2026-01-04 53433.571483 72001.137739 94447.941001 123256.304788 158892.715574 201159.431676 254675.572333
2026-01-11 52142.988018 71081.723196 94179.187377 124057.578325 161287.025500 205731.904124 262345.629702
2026-01-18 50635.330142 69832.308834 93450.921963 124244.402821 162891.396495 209326.792293 268828.048976
2026-01-25 49354.968163 68830.977076 92995.472211 124738.331473 164851.360892 213344.413505 275832.946385
2026-02-01 47925.547968 67589.364930 92193.033778 124755.643797 166186.113159 216576.535701 281871.869893
2026-02-08 47120.595500 67137.956944 92377.192885 126009.361768 169066.275280 221723.143064 290298.513339
2026-02-15 45779.569658 65935.507057 91555.901512 125940.981747 170247.730684 224744.379033 296087.407324
2026-02-22 45234.987382 65776.168384 92073.284200 127589.275851 173613.872739 230507.859099 305329.708439
2026-03-01 44476.288806 65303.020431 92159.296753 128661.767539 176236.251529 235343.260015 313431.968173